If France elects Le Pen, they'll be pulling out of the EU, which means the EU will either end, or be pretty insignificant globally.
(For anyone curious why this is a big deal)
If France elects Le Pen, they'll be pulling out of the EU, which means the EU will either end, or be pretty insignificant globally.
(For anyone curious why this is a big deal)
EU was destined to fail from the beginning. Any sort of agreement that allows people to quit when it's not beneficial to them is destined to fail. Plus add in a bunch of free loading countries and it's a recipe for disaster. Throw in forcing countries to take millions of immigrants and of course it explodes.
I don't think the French President has the power to do that without a vote in parliament, and as she controls something like 0.35% of parliament...
Well there also has to be political will to fight a civil war which is anything but certain. And with other nations throwing their support for the defecting side just to interfere things could turn very very nasty very fast. And of course the loyalty of the military cannot 100% be relied upon in such a situation, it would be a disaster to morale to have to fight your former comrades in arms.
Last edited by Elldallan; 05-05-2017 at 23:30.
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for a day, Set a man on fire and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
I know basically nothing about how any government outside of the US works (though I assume they're not radically different, at least parliamentary systems). But that being said my understanding of why this is concerning for most of Europe is the very real possibility that a La Pen victory would mean a very serious threat of France leaving the EU, which would be catastrophic (for the EU)
No he doesn't have any such evidence unless he fabricates them like Trump fabricates "truths" because France throughout it's 1200 years or so of history has won multiple wars. Just take a look at Napoleon I who won several wars to the point where the whole of Europe basically had to unite against him.
No doubt Le Pen could cause a whole lot of mischief, much like Trump is That on and of self would spell a bunch of problems for EU, especially given Brexit negotiations. But I'm fairly sure that just like Trump can't end NATO or cancel international treaties without the support of congress etc Le Pen would face similar hurdles. From my googling it seems that the office of the French President holds a lot less power than the US one and most of the faily power the French President has stems from the fact that the President appoints the prime minister and thus the cabinet, but parliament can declare a vote of no confidence and depose the cabinet if they don't like it, and the President can then depose the National Assembly, but only once per year. So Le Pen winning power would likely mean a whole lot of unrest and political instability until she's somehow deposed, so it'd be chaos but I do think it'd take more to bring France out of the EU.
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for a day, Set a man on fire and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)