Ok so I got a SoT with 50% thieves. In order to find the minimal defense I'd be getting on the SoT I got several more. It appears that the random variable is more than 3%? Here are the results
First:
Total Modified Offense: 70,835 (68.11 per Acre)
Practical (100% elites): 70,835 (68.11 per Acre)
Total Modified Defense: 53,658 (51.59 per Acre)
Practical (0% elites): 36,853 (35.44 per Acre)
I then Ns'd some for the heck of it cos I had too much stealth and nothing to do :p
Second:
Total Modified Offense: 59,775 (55.50 per Acre)
Practical (100% elites): 59,775 (55.50 per Acre)
Total Modified Defense: 54,957 (51.03 per Acre)
Practical (0% elites): 37,781 (35.08 per Acre)
Third:
Total Modified Offense: 68,343 (68.14 per Acre)
Practical (100% elites): 68,343 (68.14 per Acre)
Total Modified Defense: 56,973 (56.80 per Acre)
Practical (0% elites): 40,382 (40.26 per Acre)
Fourth:
Total Modified Offense: 66,146 (73.74 per Acre)
Practical (100% elites): 66,146 (73.74 per Acre)
Total Modified Defense: 61,251 (68.28 per Acre)
Practical (0% elites): 40,865 (45.56 per Acre)
Fifth:
Total Modified Offense: 58,681 (57.93 per Acre)
Practical (100% elites): 58,681 (57.93 per Acre)
Total Modified Defense: 55,755 (55.04 per Acre)
Practical (0% elites): 37,054 (36.58 per Acre)
Sixth:
Total Modified Offense: 69,381 (76.49 per Acre)
Practical (100% elites): 69,381 (76.49 per Acre)
Total Modified Defense: 57,502 (63.40 per Acre)
Practical (0% elites): 37,979 (41.87 per Acre)
Seventh:
Total Modified Offense: 68,624 (68.22 per Acre)
Practical (100% elites): 68,624 (68.22 per Acre)
Total Modified Defense: 55,152 (54.82 per Acre)
Practical (0% elites): 36,406 (36.19 per Acre)
Eighth:
Total Modified Offense: 66,850 (68.71 per Acre)
Practical (100% elites): 66,850 (68.71 per Acre)
Total Modified Defense: 58,970 (60.61 per Acre)
Practical (0% elites): 40,337 (41.46 per Acre)
So from looking at these figures...lowest to highest defense: 53658, 54957, 55152, 55755, 56973, 57502, 58970, 61251.
Assuming 61251 is close to 3% above the defense it should have been...
61251/1.062 = 57675.141243
This should have been the smallest figure I could have gotten?
now if we use the lowest one...
53658*1.062 = 56984.796
This should have been the largest figure I could have gotten?
Further information:
I used more than 50% of my thieves to get these SoT's and my kd mate broke the target with 59k MO (using 55k for the calculation)
The target in question is a dwarf/sage that did not login between these SoT's which I took in a couple of minutes. Neither was there a hit on him/her nor any changes in stances.
So can I assume that these SoT's are either bugged or the devs are trying to f* with us and make us fail some? I'd like to see if anyone else can replicate these problems.