Originally Posted by
Ethan
According to the wiki, duke gives +18% pop. As far as I can tell, you left out the OME bonus from Duke, so your OPA is actually higher than listed.
To nitpick a bit - 10% forts won't give +20% DME, as you've listed. At your expected BE, you'll probably only get +11-13%. (I assume good BE sci, since housing is so strong as well.) But your base BE one 5 pes/a is 5/14.166 = 67%. Getting to 100% BE is a huge sci investment, which is what you'd need to get even +13.5% DME.
Same small % or two lost from OME.
A bigger point is that OME and DME are additive, not multiplicative. It isn't very common knowledge however - I only learned of this last age or early this age. But to demonstrate the difference this makes (with your numbers):
10.5 * 5 * 1.075*1.09 * 1.25 = 76.896
10.5 * 5 * (1 + .075 + .09 + .25) = 74.2875
A loss of 3.4% from your offense because of the unexpected calculation method the game uses.
Also, I'm suspicious of any attacking strat without hospitals (or an equivalent effect). Gotta chop something to fit those in, hurting something. No help that your PPA value cites 20% homes, but the build only fits 15%.
All of these little factors combine to *maybe* offset the major bonus of +18% OME from Duke. So, bits of slop, but the final values are actually somewhat reasonable given the situation assumed.
Which leads to the big problem with that scenario: there are currently only 43 dukes or higher in the game. As in, .6% of the server can get that high an honor. Even if we take the 100th province for honor... we only make it to a high count. Knocking out 8% pop and 8% OME, *way* too big a hit to overcome without resorting to extreme measures like drafting to 90% (as an estimate).
Yes, I intentionally skipped honor, both to simplify and to "sneak" a nerf into the math. Since I was rounding up elsewhere, I figured it was a fairly close balance for a normal level of honor. Which I would say, if you are generous, is baron. Not duke.
I should note that, with enough homes, I suspect the 70 opa 120 dpa is possible. But then you need to check the MPNW, since the NW is going to be very high, and you need to look at the lasting power, which will be very low because there's no room for hospitals or banks or pes for income (or science will be so high it could only happen via a land drop). But if we take those assumptions on an orc, I'd expect to be able to put out numbers that get up into the 150 opa, 80 dpa, range. Which is mostly just showing that if you measure only by one measure (OPA/DPA) and make some loose assumptions, you can blast any "real world" provs out of the water. The goal of a good breakdown is to avoid extremes, to avoid optimizing out parts that are needed for a good dynamic province - in general, to take any static optimization with a grain of salt.
Many others here will constantly "attack" me with the same arguments. I try for a balance between the "gut feel" dynamic considerations (how many hospitals, for example) and the static considerations. I'm sure I miss on occasion one way or another. I point at this though as evidence that I am aware of the problem... so blanket condemnations of either approach don't get much weight from me. Both are needed to reach the most accurate conclusions.