Probability of Getting a New Scientist Each Tick?

[Persain]

For fun I've done some distribution calculations after a week of ticks (168 ticks of non-fort time with assumed 3.5% probability).

its gota be lower than 3.5% i've seen alot lower values than on average 5. heck one provs with 25% labs since asap still has 0, cant be that unlucky.