Ezzerland minor comment, MA claims sancts stealing happened before Havoc's notice.
Also dorje(the thief who did the stealing between Sanct and Havoc) claims that the 28M Havocs bank reported lost that hc wasn't all from him but that he "only" did 10 ops. But yes I would not trust his word considering he(or if it was ASF, I'm unsure) claimed that it was an unnamed sanct prov who did it without permission(hard to see how a leader can do anything and not have permission from himself). I think it's safe to assume that if sanct leader did stealing on havoc bank it's safe to assume that there will have been more stealing than that which was detected and spread to everyone.

Sanct obviously did the stealing because they knew MA would react as it did and because Abs realized that there was no way Havoc could win in a fair fight since Sanct got completely farmed out despite having the strongest war setup in Abs. So they decided to intervene and double hostile MA on a bull**** reason and it's safe to assume that had pewpew not intervened the double hostile would still be going on. I don't know how much of a chance MA still has to crown but it's safe to say it's worse than it would have been without sanct interfering and better than it would have been if pewpew had not stepped in to help.